Citizen solidarity not economic nationalism after GE2015
A good part of the English Labour vote that Tony Blair captured has gone in two directions: the aspirational to the Tories and the fearful to UKIP. The central question now for Labour is whether there is a vision of the world that is honest, realistic and inspirational that might bring those voters back. If there is not, Labour in England will either be a winning party of the center right or a losing party of the left.
Insecurity in advanced economies is about globalisation
Toby Nangle, an investment analyst, has a very persuasive article on VoxEU that tells the story of the global economy in which the rise of the emerging economies - and especially China - over the last 20 years accounts for:
- the decline in the power of labour in advanced economies, and therefore
- growing labour income inequality together with
- low interest rates, and therefore
- soaring asset values and further inequality between the asset-haves and have-nots
- a shrinking and threatened "citizen surplus" for the less well-off in advanced economies
The Figure below shows the growth rates in global incomes over the period 1988-2008 by your place in the global pecking order. At the very left, if you were in the poorest 5%, you've not done well - your incomes have barely grown. But from there right through until you get to the richest 25%, incomes have grown; and, for the emerging middle classes, they've grown by a lot. Think of this as the China effect.